5.13 Determine Budget
| 5.13 Determine Budget | ||
|---|---|---|
| Inputs | Tools & Techniques | Outputs |
Purpose & When to Use
The goal of Determine Budget is to turn cost estimates into an approved, time-phased budget you can use to track and control costs. It brings together all costs from the work breakdown structure, schedule, resources, procurement, risk responses, and overheads. The result is a cost baseline and total project budget, plus a clear cash flow plan showing when funds are needed.
- Use during planning to set the cost baseline and secure funding approval.
- Revisit at stage gates, during rolling-wave planning, or after approved scope or schedule changes.
- Use when aligning project spending with organizational funding cycles or funding caps.
Mini Flow (How It’s Done)
- Gather inputs: scope and WBS, schedule, activity and work package cost estimates with their basis, resource rates, risk register, contracts, and organizational financial rules.
- Aggregate costs from activities to work packages and higher WBS levels, then spread them over time based on the schedule.
- Add contingency reserves for identified risks linked to planned responses, using quantitative analysis or sound expert judgment.
- Include applicable indirect costs, fees, taxes, procurement costs, and financing charges as required by the organization.
- Build the time-phased cost baseline used for performance measurement; this includes contingency but not management reserve.
- Compare planned spending with funding limits and reconcile by adjusting the schedule or work sequencing to stay within caps.
- Set the total project budget by adding management reserve on top of the cost baseline; this reserve is controlled by management.
- Document assumptions, exchange rates, escalation factors, and the cash flow curve; update the basis of estimates.
- Obtain approvals, baseline the budget, and route any future changes through integrated change control.
Quality & Acceptance Checklist
- Budget is time-phased and ties directly to the schedule and WBS.
- Basis of estimates is complete, with assumptions, data sources, and methods clearly stated.
- Contingency is inside the cost baseline; management reserve is outside and controlled by management.
- Indirects, taxes, fees, and procurement costs are included per organizational policy.
- Funding requirements and period-by-period cash flows are clear and realistic.
- No period exceeds approved funding limits after reconciliation.
- Currency, exchange rates, and escalation assumptions are documented.
- Approvals from sponsor and finance are recorded; version control is in place.
- Payment milestones align with contracts and expected deliverables.
- Key risks influencing contingency are identified and traceable.
Common Mistakes & Exam Traps
- Confusing cost estimates with the budget; the exam expects a time-phased baseline for control.
- Mixing up reserves; contingency belongs to the project team inside the baseline, while management reserve sits outside and needs approval to use.
- Ignoring overheads, taxes, or procurement-related costs, leading to underfunding.
- Failing to reconcile with funding caps, causing cash flow issues in certain periods.
- Changing the baseline without formal change control, or blending forecasts with the baseline.
- Double-counting or omitting risk costs tied to response plans.
- Assuming the lowest supplier quote is the budget; include all associated costs and reserves.
- Using earned value metrics here; EV is applied later during cost control after the baseline is set.
- Forgetting to time-phase contingency and to document its drivers.
PMP Example Question
Your cost plan exceeds the organization’s quarterly spending cap in Q3. What should you do next?
- Request additional funds for Q3 to keep the schedule unchanged.
- Resequence work and adjust the schedule to align spending with the funding cap.
- Cut project scope to reduce Q3 spending without approval.
- Move management reserve into the cost baseline to cover the gap.
Correct Answer: B — Resequence work and adjust the schedule to align spending with the funding cap.
Explanation: Funding limit reconciliation is part of determining the budget. You adjust timing of work to fit approved funding rather than changing scope or misusing reserves.
HKSM